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Tampa Bay Buccaneers

A Third-Down Challenge | Cardinals-Bucs Tale of the Tape

On Sunday, Tampa Bay's defense will have to contend with an Arizona attack that has been converting third downs at a very high clip, but they should have an edge against the Cardinals' run game

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The 6-5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers begin a three-week homestand in Week 13 with a visit from the 3-8 Arizona Cardinals. The game at Raymond James Stadium is scheduled for Sunday, November 30, with kickoff set for 1:00 p.m. ET. Both teams are trying to halt three-game losing skids, while the Buccaneers are trying to preserve their spot at the top of the NFC South. The Cardinals have been eliminated from the NFC West race but have slim playoff hopes alive and have lost six games by four or fewer points.

The Arizona defense is tied for 12th in interception percentage and has picked off nine passes overall, with seven different players getting in on the act. Despite a pair of interceptions thrown in last week's loss to the Rams – one on a bobbled ball and one on a Hail Mary – Baker Mayfield and the Bucs still rank sixth on offense in interception percentage, having thrown just five picks. The Cardinals' offense ranks 10th in the NFL in passing yards per game, at 231.7, while the Bucs' defense has allowed the sixth most passing yards, at 243.5 per game.

Here's how the Buccaneers and Cardinals stack up against each other for their Week 13 meeting in Tampa:

When Tampa Bay Has the Ball:

Buccaneers Offense Category Cardinals Defense
20th (319.5) Net Yards Per Game 19th (337.0)
22nd (5.09) Yards Per Play 20th (5.41)
14th (23.5) Points Per Game 24th (25.7)
20th (111.2) Rushing Yards Per Game 17th (114.2)
19th (208.4) Passing Yards Per Game 20th (222.8)
15th (39.2%) Third Down Percentage 14th (37.0%)
14th (6.42%) Sacks Per Pass Play 24th (5.90%)
6th (1.34%) Interception Percentage t-12th (2.41%)
t-25th (50.0%) Red Zone Touchdown Pct. t-20th (59.5%)

When Arizona Has the Ball:

Cardinals Offense Category Buccaneers Defense
15th (332.8) Net Yards Per Game 21st (341.2)
25th (5.04) Yards Per Play 25th (5.67)
18th (22.5) Points Per Game 25th (25.8)
25th (101.1) Rushing Yards Per Game t-8th (97.6)
10th (231.7) Passing Yards Per Game 27th (243.5)
5th (43.2%) Third Down Percentage 20th (39.9%)
25th (9.41%) Sacks Per Pass Play 17th (7.20%)
8th (1.41%) Interception Percentage 9th (2.67%)
19th (55.6%) Red Zone Touchdown Pct. 29th (66.7%)

Advantage Buccaneers: Run Defense

The Buccaneers' defense has held eight of its 11 opponents below 100 rushing yards, most recently allowing just 70 yards to Kyren Williams and the Rams in Week 12. Williams had just 46 yards on 12 carries; Buffalo's James Cook had 48 yards on 16 carries the week before that. Meanwhile, an early-season injury to James Conner and some other unfortunate injury luck in the Cardinals' backfield has led to Arizona ranking 25th in rushing yards per game and 18th in yards per carry. Arizona does not have a back with at least 250 rushing yards this season, as Emari Demercado leads the group with 241 yards, though he has averaged a robust 7.8 yards per tote. In Arizona's most recent game, Bam Knight started and had 12 yards on 10 carries while Michael Carter added 28 yards on five runs.

Advantage Cardinals: Third Downs on Offense

With Jacoby Brissett throwing 43 times per game and completing 66.8% of his passes, the Cardinals' offense has been able to sustain drives by moving the chains on third down. Arizona has converted on 43.2% of its third-down attempts, good for fifth in the NFL. The Cardinals have been particularly effective when they can get into short third-down situations, converting 70.5% of their tries when needing three or fewer yards, which ranks second in the NFL. Tampa Bay's defense ranks 20th in overall third-down success rate, allowing a conversion percentage of 39.9%. On third downs needing three or fewer yards, the Bucs have allowed a success rate of 60.5%, which ranks 23rd in the NFL.

X-Factor: Quarterback Mobility

The Buccaneers, of course, have a question mark at quarterback overall heading into Sunday's game, with starter Baker Mayfield working his way through a left shoulder injury. If he is cleared to play, there will still be concerns about his mobility, or more specifically his need to avoid taking hits. Mayfield has brought an extra edge to the Bucs' offense with his timely scrambles in 2025, as he has created a first down on 14 of the 16 times he has taken off on third downs. That's the highest conversion rate for a quarterback in the league this season who has at least 10 runs on third down. Teddy Bridgewater, who would start if Mayfield can't go, has had some success running the ball, with 279 yards in 15 starts with the Panthers in 2020, but he is not likely to pose the same third-down threat with his legs as Mayfield has been. Arizona started the season with one of the most mobile quarterbacks in the NFL, but Kyler Murray is currently on injured reserve and won't be available on Sunday. His replacement, Jacoby Brissett, has run for 100 yards on 24 carries, averaging 4.2 yards per tote, and Run Game Coordinator/Outside Linebackers Coach Larry Foote called him a "sneaky scrambler."

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